Considering the time that is in it and the fact that I do enjoy making political predictions (which in the main tend to be slightly off kilter with reality) I have decided to put together my best guess at the probable new cabinet.
Bear in mind that a programme for government must first be agreed between Fine Gael and Labour. Then in turn that this will pass muster with the Labour grassroots. I am also working on the basis that sheer statistics and mathematics will lead to five ministries for Labour with the balance of ten going to Fine Gael.
I have used the original list of ministers and minsters of state that is available on www.taoiseach.gov.ie as a basis for the upcoming ministries with minor tweeks.
With regard to Junior Ministries four may be abolished so to start with the bureaucratic cull in this regard. I would imagine that the Junior Minister positions of Livelong Learning and School Transport will be split between the portfolios of Education and Transport respectively. The Junior Ministry of European Affairs could be brought into a more logical department of Foreign and European Affairs. The Junior Ministry of Public Service reform would become a full ministry in line with the New Politics Policy Document that was part of the Fine Gael Election Platform. And finally, the Junior Ministry of Fisheries and Forestry would be subsumed into the Department of Communications and Natural Resources and they seem keen on flogging the forests. Also, if the pledge on creating a ministry for public service reform would mean that two existing ministries would need to be merged or one of these ministries being demoted to junior ministry level.
Anyway here goes… make of it what you will and feel free to have a rant on the comments section
15 Member Cabinet
| Taoiseach | Enda Kenny |
| Foreign & European Affairs | Ruairi Quinn |
| Education | Eamon Gilmore |
| Health & Children | James Reilly |
| Finance | Michael Noonan |
| Social Protection | Kathleen Lynch |
| Defence | Andrew Doyle |
| Environment | Phil Hogan |
| Tourism, Culture & Sport | Jimmy Deenihian |
| Enterprise & Trade | Joan Burton |
| Public Sector Reform | Richard Bruton |
| Agriculture | Charlie Flanagan |
| Justice | Alan Shatter |
| Community Affairs | Pat Rabbitte |
| Transport & Communications | Simon Coveney |
Slimmed Down Junior Ministries
| Chief Whip | Paul Kehoe |
| Natural Resources | Leo Varadkar |
| Children & Youth Affairs | Dominic Halligan |
| Science | Sean Barrett |
| Trade & Commerce | Alan Kelly |
| Disability and Mental Health | Lucinda Creigton |
| Housing | Aodhan Ó’Riordáin |
| Overseas Development | Joanna Tuffy |
| OPW | Frances Fitzgerald |
| Older Person | Paudie Coffey |
However with that said I would keep an eye on the following –
Martin Heydon
Terence Flanagan
David Stanton
Noel Coonan
Paschal Donohue
Brian Hayes
Peter Matthews
Willie Penrose
Jack Wall
They may crop up….

4 comments
Comments feed for this article
March 3, 2011 at 10:12 pm
anthonygeary
Not sure about paudie coffey but other than that looks as though not being a bad guess…
March 3, 2011 at 10:24 pm
William
Do you not think Frances will get a senior position? Not sure which one, but I do reckon she’ll get one. Which could mean one of the other Dublin FG ministers lose out.
March 3, 2011 at 10:28 pm
quiatimet
Fair point but I was also concious of the Geographical balance as it may not be a good idea to have too many Dublin based Ministers. But you’re right, if she is going in another Dub has to come out.
March 8, 2011 at 12:41 am
Catherine Rotte-Murray
as long as Lucinda doesn’t get her mitts on Equality there’s some hope for the PFG! I think Gilmore will get For. Affairs, and Quinn might get Education but that’s just being conservative, could be anyone’s guess. Would love to see Ciara Conway get a position but maybe not right now – she’d be great with her expertise in Children or Older People or SW-related. She’d def. be in my fantasy cabinet! It’s been a blast of a month with the buzz of the campaign, Twitter made it more fun, and I’m glad to be part of the historic moment by being in UCD yesterday at the Labour conference!
Catherine.